NEW
Introducing New Bet Builder Tool
4 Nov 2026
Build bet builders with the stats switched on. This new innovative tool combines the UI you are familiar with when you place bet builders a…
BETA
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
NEW
Fixture Difficulty & New Time Periods Live
7 Nov 2026
We have developed a new metric for the Form Guide. You can now see the upcoming difficulty of a team's fixture run. What's more, you can no…
UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
6 Nov 2026
- Top Picks Section on Fixtures - New Overview Section on Index - More Leagues Added (FA Cup, MLS, Belgian Pro, Etc) - Improved Layout on D…
VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
6 Nov 2026
🗣️ In this episode of the Predictions Show, founder Joe takes the new Bet Builder tool for a spin to create some interesting combinations f…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Aarau vs Étoile Carouge 100,000 times. Aarau won 57,417 of them (57.4%), the draw came up 22.2% of the time and Étoile Carouge won 20.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10%, while the likeliest Aarau win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 61.2% of simulations.
Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Étoile Carouge winning 20.4% and gave this exact score 5.5%.
| Aarau win | 57.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.2% |
| Étoile Carouge win | 20.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 2.10 – 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | 61.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.7% |
| Aarau score first | 62.9% |
| Étoile Carouge score first | 32.3% |
| Aarau clean sheet | 30.9% |
| Étoile Carouge clean sheet | 12.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668814 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Aarau are favourites. They win 57.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.2% for the draw and 20.4% for Étoile Carouge. Including the draw, Aarau avoid defeat 79.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Aarau win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.2% of simulations. Aarau keep a clean sheet 30.9% of the time and Étoile Carouge 12.6%.
The simulations average 3.29 goals: 2.10 for Aarau and 1.19 for Étoile Carouge. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.5% and over 3.5 goals 41.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.