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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Aarhus Fremad vs Silkeborg IF 100,000 times. Aarhus Fremad won 38,077 of them (38.1%), the draw came up 24.8% of the time and Silkeborg IF won 37.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest Aarhus Fremad win is 2-1 (8.1%). Both teams score in 67.1% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Aarhus Fremad winning 38.1% and gave this exact score 4.7%.
| Aarhus Fremad win | 38.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.8% |
| Silkeborg IF win | 37.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.71 – 1.68 |
| Both teams to score | 67.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.9% |
| Aarhus Fremad score first | 46% |
| Silkeborg IF score first | 49.4% |
| Aarhus Fremad clean sheet | 19% |
| Silkeborg IF clean sheet | 18.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420568123 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Aarhus Fremad are favourites. They win 38.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.8% for the draw and 37.1% for Silkeborg IF. Including the draw, Aarhus Fremad avoid defeat 62.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.1%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest Aarhus Fremad win is 2-1 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 67.1% of simulations. Aarhus Fremad keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Silkeborg IF 18.6%.
The simulations average 3.39 goals: 1.71 for Aarhus Fremad and 1.68 for Silkeborg IF. Over 1.5 goals lands 86% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.5% and over 3.5 goals 43.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.