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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated AC Carpi vs Ravenna 100,000 times. Ravenna won 46,774 of them (46.8%), the draw came up 26.4% of the time and AC Carpi won 26.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Ravenna win is 1-2 (9.3%). Both teams score in 58.3% of simulations.
Full time 3-3. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 26.4%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| AC Carpi win | 26.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.4% |
| Ravenna win | 46.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.23 – 1.69 |
| Both teams to score | 58.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.4% |
| AC Carpi score first | 33.6% |
| Ravenna score first | 59.6% |
| AC Carpi clean sheet | 19% |
| Ravenna clean sheet | 29.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420688943 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Ravenna are favourites. They win 46.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.4% for the draw and 26.8% for AC Carpi. Including the draw, Ravenna avoid defeat 73.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest Ravenna win is 1-2 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.3% of simulations. AC Carpi keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Ravenna 29.6%.
The simulations average 2.92 goals: 1.23 for AC Carpi and 1.69 for Ravenna. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.5% and over 3.5 goals 33.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.