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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar 100,000 times. Acassuso won 42,560 of them (42.6%), the draw came up 33.4% of the time and Ciudad de Bolívar won 24%. No single score is common: 0-0 is the likeliest at 16.9%, while the likeliest Acassuso win is 1-0 (16.4%). Both teams score in 35.6% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Ciudad de Bolívar winning 24% and gave this exact score 11%.
| Acassuso win | 42.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 33.4% |
| Ciudad de Bolívar win | 24% |
| Most likely score | 0-0 (16.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.10 – 0.75 |
| Both teams to score | 35.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 11.7% |
| Acassuso score first | 49.1% |
| Ciudad de Bolívar score first | 34.3% |
| Acassuso clean sheet | 47.5% |
| Ciudad de Bolívar clean sheet | 33.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503371 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Acassuso are favourites. They win 42.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 33.4% for the draw and 24% for Ciudad de Bolívar. Including the draw, Acassuso avoid defeat 76% of the time.
0-0, which came up in 16.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (16.4%) and 1-1 (13.6%). The likeliest Acassuso win is 1-0 (16.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 35.6% of simulations. Acassuso keep a clean sheet 47.5% of the time and Ciudad de Bolívar 33.8%.
The simulations average 1.84 goals: 1.10 for Acassuso and 0.75 for Ciudad de Bolívar. Over 1.5 goals lands 55.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 28.1% and over 3.5 goals 11.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.