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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn 100,000 times. Acassuso won 37,010 of them (37%), the draw came up 31.6% of the time and Deportivo Madryn won 31.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.2%, while the likeliest Acassuso win is 1-0 (12.4%). Both teams score in 43.3% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 31.6% and gave this exact score 13.1%.
| Acassuso win | 37% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.6% |
| Deportivo Madryn win | 31.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.12 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 43.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 16.8% |
| Acassuso score first | 47% |
| Deportivo Madryn score first | 39.7% |
| Acassuso clean sheet | 36.8% |
| Deportivo Madryn clean sheet | 33% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503240 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Acassuso are favourites. They win 37% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.6% for the draw and 31.4% for Deportivo Madryn. Including the draw, Acassuso avoid defeat 68.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.2% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (13.1%) and 1-0 (12.4%). The likeliest Acassuso win is 1-0 (12.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 43.3% of simulations. Acassuso keep a clean sheet 36.8% of the time and Deportivo Madryn 33%.
The simulations average 2.13 goals: 1.12 for Acassuso and 1.01 for Deportivo Madryn. Over 1.5 goals lands 63.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 35.7% and over 3.5 goals 16.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.