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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated AEK Larnaca vs Akritas 100,000 times. AEK Larnaca won 87,942 of them (87.9%), the draw came up 8.5% of the time and Akritas won 3.5%. The most likely score is 3-0 (13.6%), and both teams score in 35.4% of simulations.
Full time 3-2. Before kick-off the simulations had AEK Larnaca winning 87.9%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| AEK Larnaca win | 87.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 8.5% |
| Akritas win | 3.5% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (13.6%) |
| Expected goals | 3.12 – 0.47 |
| Both teams to score | 35.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.8% |
| AEK Larnaca score first | 84.3% |
| Akritas score first | 13.1% |
| AEK Larnaca clean sheet | 62.6% |
| Akritas clean sheet | 4.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420726638 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
AEK Larnaca are favourites. They win 87.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 8.5% for the draw and 3.5% for Akritas. Including the draw, AEK Larnaca avoid defeat 96.5% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 13.6% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (13.4%) and 4-0 (10.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 35.4% of simulations. AEK Larnaca keep a clean sheet 62.6% of the time and Akritas 4.9%.
The simulations average 3.59 goals: 3.12 for AEK Larnaca and 0.47 for Akritas. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.7% and over 3.5 goals 47.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.