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Cyprus Cup · 100,000 simulations

AEL vs Iraklis Yerolakkou prediction

We simulated AEL vs Iraklis Yerolakkou 100,000 times. AEL won 92,544 of them (92.5%), the draw came up 5.7% of the time and Iraklis Yerolakkou won 1.8%. The most likely score is 3-0 (13.1%), and both teams score in 34.6% of simulations.

AEL badge
AEL Tsirion Athlítiko Kentro
2–1 Full time
Iraklis Yerolakkou badge
Iraklis Yerolakkou Away
92.5% 92,544 wins
5.7% Draw
1.8% 1,795 wins
Expected goals
3.75 – 0.44
Likeliest score
3-0 13.1%
Both score
34.6%
Over 2.5
77.9%

Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had AEL winning 92.5% and gave this exact score 4.7%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Michalis Louka Tsirion Athlítiko Kentro, Limassol
AEL vs Iraklis Yerolakkou live score, stats & lineups

AEL vs Iraklis Yerolakkou in numbers 100,000 simulations · Cyprus Cup · Tuesday 3 November, 16:00

AEL vs Iraklis Yerolakkou simulation probabilities
AEL win92.5%
Draw5.7%
Iraklis Yerolakkou win1.8%
Most likely score3-0 (13.1%)
Expected goals3.75 – 0.44
Both teams to score34.6%
Over 1.5 goals91.6%
Over 2.5 goals77.9%
Over 3.5 goals59.5%
AEL score first88.1%
Iraklis Yerolakkou score first10.2%
AEL clean sheet64.5%
Iraklis Yerolakkou clean sheet2.7%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420726632
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

AEL vs Iraklis Yerolakkou prediction FAQs

Who will win AEL vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?

AEL are favourites. They win 92.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 5.7% for the draw and 1.8% for Iraklis Yerolakkou. Including the draw, AEL avoid defeat 98.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in AEL vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?

3-0, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 4-0 (12.1%) and 2-0 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in AEL vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?

Both teams score in 34.6% of simulations. AEL keep a clean sheet 64.5% of the time and Iraklis Yerolakkou 2.7%.

How many goals will there be in AEL vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?

The simulations average 4.19 goals: 3.75 for AEL and 0.44 for Iraklis Yerolakkou. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 77.9% and over 3.5 goals 59.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.