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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Afan Lido vs Penybont 100,000 times. Penybont won 80,635 of them (80.6%), the draw came up 12% of the time and Afan Lido won 7.3%. The most likely score is 0-2 (11.4%), and both teams score in 47.8% of simulations.
Full time 2-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Penybont winning 80.6% and gave this exact score 2.8%.
| Afan Lido win | 7.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 12% |
| Penybont win | 80.6% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (11.4%) |
| Expected goals | 0.72 – 2.84 |
| Both teams to score | 47.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.4% |
| Afan Lido score first | 20.6% |
| Penybont score first | 76.9% |
| Afan Lido clean sheet | 6.2% |
| Penybont clean sheet | 48.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728557 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Penybont are favourites. They win 80.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 12% for the draw and 7.3% for Afan Lido. Including the draw, Penybont avoid defeat 92.7% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (10.6%) and 0-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.8% of simulations. Afan Lido keep a clean sheet 6.2% of the time and Penybont 48.7%.
The simulations average 3.56 goals: 0.72 for Afan Lido and 2.84 for Penybont. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.5% and over 3.5 goals 47.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.