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EFL Trophy · 100,000 simulations

AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet prediction

We simulated AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet 100,000 times. AFC Wimbledon won 50,160 of them (50.2%), the draw came up 22.5% of the time and Barnet won 27.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.3%, while the likeliest AFC Wimbledon win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 58.7% of simulations.

AFC Wimbledon badge
AFC Wimbledon Cherry Red Records Stadium
0–0 Full time
Barnet badge
Barnet Away
50.2% 50,160 wins
22.5% Draw
27.3% 27,300 wins
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.25
Likeliest score
1-1 10.3% Top AFC Wimbledon win: 2-1 9.4%
Both score
58.7%
Over 2.5
58.4%

Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 22.5% and gave this exact score 4.7%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Callum Walchester Cherry Red Records Stadium, England
AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet live score, stats & lineups

AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet in numbers 100,000 simulations · EFL Trophy · Tuesday 6 October, 19:00

AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet simulation probabilities
AFC Wimbledon win50.2%
Draw22.5%
Barnet win27.3%
Most likely score1-1 (10.3%)
Expected goals1.79 – 1.25
Both teams to score58.7%
Over 1.5 goals80.1%
Over 2.5 goals58.4%
Over 3.5 goals36.3%
AFC Wimbledon score first56.4%
Barnet score first39.1%
AFC Wimbledon clean sheet28.9%
Barnet clean sheet17.1%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420657226
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet prediction FAQs

Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet?

AFC Wimbledon are favourites. They win 50.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.5% for the draw and 27.3% for Barnet. Including the draw, AFC Wimbledon avoid defeat 72.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet?

1-1, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet?

Both teams score in 58.7% of simulations. AFC Wimbledon keep a clean sheet 28.9% of the time and Barnet 17.1%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet?

The simulations average 3.04 goals: 1.79 for AFC Wimbledon and 1.25 for Barnet. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.4% and over 3.5 goals 36.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.