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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Ahal vs Paro FC 100,000 times. Paro FC won 43,327 of them (43.3%), the draw came up 23.4% of the time and Ahal won 33.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10%, while the likeliest Paro FC win is 1-2 (8.6%). Both teams score in 66.2% of simulations.
Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 23.4% and gave this exact score 6.7%.
| Ahal win | 33.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.4% |
| Paro FC win | 43.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 1.57 – 1.82 |
| Both teams to score | 66.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.9% |
| Ahal score first | 44.6% |
| Paro FC score first | 51.5% |
| Ahal clean sheet | 16.7% |
| Paro FC clean sheet | 21.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420661038 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Paro FC are favourites. They win 43.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.4% for the draw and 33.3% for Ahal. Including the draw, Paro FC avoid defeat 66.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Paro FC win is 1-2 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66.2% of simulations. Ahal keep a clean sheet 16.7% of the time and Paro FC 21.2%.
The simulations average 3.39 goals: 1.57 for Ahal and 1.82 for Paro FC. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.5% and over 3.5 goals 43.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.