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AFC Challenge League · 100,000 simulations

Al Ansar vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo prediction

We simulated Al Ansar vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo 100,000 times. Al-Ittihad Aleppo won 37,383 of them (37.4%), the draw came up 27.1% of the time and Al Ansar won 35.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest Al-Ittihad Aleppo win is 0-1 (10.7%). Both teams score in 49.6% of simulations.

Al Ansar badge
Al Ansar Changlimithang National Stadium
2–0 Full time
Al-Ittihad Aleppo badge
Al-Ittihad Aleppo Away
35.5% 35,481 wins
27.1% Draw
37.4% 37,383 wins
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.25
Likeliest score
1-1 12.7% Top Al-Ittihad win: 0-1 10.7%
Both score
49.6%
Over 2.5
44.5%

Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Al Ansar winning 35.5% and gave this exact score 6.3%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Changlimithang National Stadium, Thimphu
Al Ansar vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo live score, stats & lineups

Al Ansar vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo in numbers 100,000 simulations · AFC Challenge League · Saturday 17 October, 16:00

Al Ansar vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo simulation probabilities
Al Ansar win35.5%
Draw27.1%
Al-Ittihad Aleppo win37.4%
Most likely score1-1 (12.7%)
Expected goals1.21 – 1.25
Both teams to score49.6%
Over 1.5 goals70.1%
Over 2.5 goals44.5%
Over 3.5 goals23.5%
Al Ansar score first45.4%
Al-Ittihad Aleppo score first46%
Al Ansar clean sheet29%
Al-Ittihad Aleppo clean sheet30.2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420661045
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Al Ansar vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo prediction FAQs

Who will win Al Ansar vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo?

Al-Ittihad Aleppo are favourites. They win 37.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.1% for the draw and 35.5% for Al Ansar. Including the draw, Al-Ittihad Aleppo avoid defeat 64.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Al Ansar vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo?

1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.7%) and 1-0 (10.4%). The likeliest Al-Ittihad Aleppo win is 0-1 (10.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Al Ansar vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo?

Both teams score in 49.6% of simulations. Al Ansar keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30.2%.

How many goals will there be in Al Ansar vs Al-Ittihad Aleppo?

The simulations average 2.46 goals: 1.21 for Al Ansar and 1.25 for Al-Ittihad Aleppo. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.5% and over 3.5 goals 23.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.