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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Al-Najma vs A'Ali 100,000 times. Al-Najma won 40,378 of them (40.4%), the draw came up 28.9% of the time and A'Ali won 30.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.6%, while the likeliest Al-Najma win is 1-0 (9.1%). Both teams score in 53.5% of simulations.
Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had A'Ali winning 30.8% and gave this exact score 7.3%.
| Al-Najma win | 40.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.9% |
| A'Ali win | 30.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.41 – 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | 53.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.6% |
| Al-Najma score first | 43.8% |
| A'Ali score first | 47.2% |
| Al-Najma clean sheet | 30.5% |
| A'Ali clean sheet | 24.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728271 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al-Najma are favourites. They win 40.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.9% for the draw and 30.8% for A'Ali. Including the draw, Al-Najma avoid defeat 69.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.1%) and 0-0 (9%). The likeliest Al-Najma win is 1-0 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.5% of simulations. Al-Najma keep a clean sheet 30.5% of the time and A'Ali 24.9%.
The simulations average 2.60 goals: 1.41 for Al-Najma and 1.20 for A'Ali. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.1% and over 3.5 goals 26.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.