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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Al Qadsia vs Fortis 100,000 times. Al Qadsia won 78,833 of them (78.8%), the draw came up 13.1% of the time and Fortis won 8.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.9%), and both teams score in 47.1% of simulations.
Full time 3-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Al Qadsia winning 78.8% and gave this exact score 10.5%.
| Al Qadsia win | 78.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.1% |
| Fortis win | 8.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.69 – 0.72 |
| Both teams to score | 47.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.2% |
| Al Qadsia score first | 79.7% |
| Fortis score first | 17.2% |
| Al Qadsia clean sheet | 48.9% |
| Fortis clean sheet | 7.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420661041 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Qadsia are favourites. They win 78.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.1% for the draw and 8.1% for Fortis. Including the draw, Al Qadsia avoid defeat 91.9% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (10.5%) and 1-0 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.1% of simulations. Al Qadsia keep a clean sheet 48.9% of the time and Fortis 7.2%.
The simulations average 3.41 goals: 2.69 for Al Qadsia and 0.72 for Fortis. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.7% and over 3.5 goals 44.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.