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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Al Sadd vs Al Shamal SC 100,000 times. Al Sadd won 57,629 of them (57.6%), the draw came up 20.7% of the time and Al Shamal SC won 21.7%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8.9%), and both teams score in 68.4% of simulations.
Full time 4-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Al Sadd winning 57.6% and gave this exact score 4.1%.
| Al Sadd win | 57.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.7% |
| Al Shamal SC win | 21.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (8.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.35 – 1.41 |
| Both teams to score | 68.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 51.5% |
| Al Sadd score first | 64.6% |
| Al Shamal SC score first | 32.2% |
| Al Sadd clean sheet | 24.9% |
| Al Shamal SC clean sheet | 9.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420659770 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Sadd are favourites. They win 57.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.7% for the draw and 21.7% for Al Shamal SC. Including the draw, Al Sadd avoid defeat 78.3% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 8.9% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.4%) and 3-1 (6.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 68.4% of simulations. Al Sadd keep a clean sheet 24.9% of the time and Al Shamal SC 9.9%.
The simulations average 3.76 goals: 2.35 for Al Sadd and 1.41 for Al Shamal SC. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 72% and over 3.5 goals 51.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.