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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Alavés W vs Real Sociedad W 100,000 times. Real Sociedad W won 57,548 of them (57.6%), the draw came up 24% of the time and Alavés W won 18.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.3%, while the likeliest Real Sociedad W win is 0-1 (11.1%). Both teams score in 50.9% of simulations.
| Alavés W win | 18.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24% |
| Real Sociedad W win | 57.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.93 – 1.82 |
| Both teams to score | 50.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.8% |
| Alavés W score first | 31.8% |
| Real Sociedad W score first | 61% |
| Alavés W clean sheet | 16.6% |
| Real Sociedad W clean sheet | 39.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420680609 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Sociedad W are favourites. They win 57.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24% for the draw and 18.5% for Alavés W. Including the draw, Real Sociedad W avoid defeat 81.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.1%) and 0-2 (10.5%). The likeliest Real Sociedad W win is 0-1 (11.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.9% of simulations. Alavés W keep a clean sheet 16.6% of the time and Real Sociedad W 39.7%.
The simulations average 2.75 goals: 0.93 for Alavés W and 1.82 for Real Sociedad W. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.7% and over 3.5 goals 29.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.