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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Albion vs Deportivo Maldonado 100,000 times. Deportivo Maldonado won 43,528 of them (43.5%), the draw came up 26.3% of the time and Albion won 30.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win is 1-2 (9%). Both teams score in 57.6% of simulations.
This match has kicked off. These are the numbers from the last simulation before kick-off.
| Albion win | 30.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.3% |
| Deportivo Maldonado win | 43.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.28 – 1.58 |
| Both teams to score | 57.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.2% |
| Albion score first | 40.7% |
| Deportivo Maldonado score first | 52.8% |
| Albion clean sheet | 21% |
| Deportivo Maldonado clean sheet | 28.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420740176 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Deportivo Maldonado are favourites. They win 43.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.3% for the draw and 30.2% for Albion. Including the draw, Deportivo Maldonado avoid defeat 69.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.3%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win is 1-2 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.6% of simulations. Albion keep a clean sheet 21% of the time and Deportivo Maldonado 28.2%.
The simulations average 2.86 goals: 1.28 for Albion and 1.58 for Deportivo Maldonado. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.2% and over 3.5 goals 32.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.