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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Alianza Universidad vs Universidad San Martín 100,000 times. Universidad San Martín won 48,176 of them (48.2%), the draw came up 23.9% of the time and Alianza Universidad won 28%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest Universidad San Martín win is 0-1 (11.1%). Both teams score in 52.8% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Universidad San Martín winning 48.2% and gave this exact score 11.1%.
| Alianza Universidad win | 28% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.9% |
| Universidad San Martín win | 48.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.13 – 1.58 |
| Both teams to score | 52.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Alianza Universidad score first | 37.7% |
| Universidad San Martín score first | 56% |
| Alianza Universidad clean sheet | 21% |
| Universidad San Martín clean sheet | 32.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420733295 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Universidad San Martín are favourites. They win 48.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.9% for the draw and 28% for Alianza Universidad. Including the draw, Universidad San Martín avoid defeat 72% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest Universidad San Martín win is 0-1 (11.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.8% of simulations. Alianza Universidad keep a clean sheet 21% of the time and Universidad San Martín 32.5%.
The simulations average 2.71 goals: 1.13 for Alianza Universidad and 1.58 for Universidad San Martín. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.8% and over 3.5 goals 29%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.