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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Alianza vs Sporting San Miguelito 100,000 times. Alianza won 36,001 of them (36%), the draw came up 32.9% of the time and Sporting San Miguelito won 31.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 15.3%, while the likeliest Alianza win is 1-0 (9.9%). Both teams score in 48.1% of simulations.
Full time 1-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Sporting San Miguelito winning 31.1% and gave this exact score 2.6%.
| Alianza win | 36% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 32.9% |
| Sporting San Miguelito win | 31.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (15.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.19 – 1.09 |
| Both teams to score | 48.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.9% |
| Alianza score first | 42.3% |
| Sporting San Miguelito score first | 44.8% |
| Alianza clean sheet | 33.9% |
| Sporting San Miguelito clean sheet | 30.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420587402 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Alianza are favourites. They win 36% of our 100,000 simulations, against 32.9% for the draw and 31.1% for Sporting San Miguelito. Including the draw, Alianza avoid defeat 68.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 15.3% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (12.7%) and 1-0 (9.9%). The likeliest Alianza win is 1-0 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.1% of simulations. Alianza keep a clean sheet 33.9% of the time and Sporting San Miguelito 30.7%.
The simulations average 2.29 goals: 1.19 for Alianza and 1.09 for Sporting San Miguelito. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 40% and over 3.5 goals 19.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.