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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Alloa Athletic vs Gala Fairydean Rovers 100,000 times. Alloa Athletic won 90,044 of them (90%), the draw came up 6.8% of the time and Gala Fairydean Rovers won 3.1%. The most likely score is 3-0 (11.9%), and both teams score in 41.6% of simulations.
Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 6.8%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Alloa Athletic win | 90% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 6.8% |
| Gala Fairydean Rovers win | 3.1% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 3.58 – 0.57 |
| Both teams to score | 41.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 58.8% |
| Alloa Athletic score first | 84.4% |
| Gala Fairydean Rovers score first | 14% |
| Alloa Athletic clean sheet | 56.9% |
| Gala Fairydean Rovers clean sheet | 3.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420628729 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Alloa Athletic are favourites. They win 90% of our 100,000 simulations, against 6.8% for the draw and 3.1% for Gala Fairydean Rovers. Including the draw, Alloa Athletic avoid defeat 96.9% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 4-0 (10.5%) and 2-0 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 41.6% of simulations. Alloa Athletic keep a clean sheet 56.9% of the time and Gala Fairydean Rovers 3.1%.
The simulations average 4.14 goals: 3.58 for Alloa Athletic and 0.57 for Gala Fairydean Rovers. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 77.4% and over 3.5 goals 58.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.