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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Almagro vs Tristán Suárez 100,000 times. Tristán Suárez won 53,961 of them (54%), the draw came up 30.5% of the time and Almagro won 15.5%. The most likely score is 0-1 (20.3%), and both teams score in 30.2% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 30.5% and gave this exact score 11.5%.
| Almagro win | 15.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.5% |
| Tristán Suárez win | 54% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (20.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.54 – 1.27 |
| Both teams to score | 30.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 54.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 11.2% |
| Almagro score first | 23.6% |
| Tristán Suárez score first | 59.3% |
| Almagro clean sheet | 28.4% |
| Tristán Suárez clean sheet | 58.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503087 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Tristán Suárez are favourites. They win 54% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.5% for the draw and 15.5% for Almagro. Including the draw, Tristán Suárez avoid defeat 84.5% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 20.3% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (17%) and 0-2 (13.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 30.2% of simulations. Almagro keep a clean sheet 28.4% of the time and Tristán Suárez 58.4%.
The simulations average 1.81 goals: 0.54 for Almagro and 1.27 for Tristán Suárez. Over 1.5 goals lands 54.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 27.3% and over 3.5 goals 11.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.