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  1. Simulations
  2. Almirante Brown vs Ciudad de Bolívar
Primera B Nacional · 100,000 simulations

Almirante Brown vs Ciudad de Bolívar prediction

We simulated Almirante Brown vs Ciudad de Bolívar 100,000 times. Almirante Brown won 50,162 of them (50.2%), the draw came up 33.9% of the time and Ciudad de Bolívar won 16%. The most likely score is 1-0 (20%), and both teams score in 29.5% of simulations.

Almirante Brown badge
Almirante Brown Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento
2–0 Full time
Ciudad de Bolívar badge
Ciudad de Bolívar Away
50.2% 50,162 wins
33.9% Draw
16% 15,953 wins
Expected goals
1.17 – 0.54
Likeliest score
1-0 20%
Both score
29.5%
Over 2.5
24.4%

Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Almirante Brown winning 50.2% and gave this exact score 12.3%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Julián Jerez Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, La Matanza
Almirante Brown vs Ciudad de Bolívar live score, stats & lineups

Almirante Brown vs Ciudad de Bolívar in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera B Nacional · Saturday 8 August, 19:00

Almirante Brown vs Ciudad de Bolívar simulation probabilities
Almirante Brown win50.2%
Draw33.9%
Ciudad de Bolívar win16%
Most likely score1-0 (20%)
Expected goals1.17 – 0.54
Both teams to score29.5%
Over 1.5 goals51.7%
Over 2.5 goals24.4%
Over 3.5 goals9.5%
Almirante Brown score first54.6%
Ciudad de Bolívar score first26.1%
Almirante Brown clean sheet58.7%
Ciudad de Bolívar clean sheet31.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420503343
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Almirante Brown vs Ciudad de Bolívar prediction FAQs

Who will win Almirante Brown vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

Almirante Brown are favourites. They win 50.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 33.9% for the draw and 16% for Ciudad de Bolívar. Including the draw, Almirante Brown avoid defeat 84.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Almirante Brown vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

1-0, which came up in 20% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (19.6%) and 1-1 (12.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Almirante Brown vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

Both teams score in 29.5% of simulations. Almirante Brown keep a clean sheet 58.7% of the time and Ciudad de Bolívar 31.5%.

How many goals will there be in Almirante Brown vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

The simulations average 1.70 goals: 1.17 for Almirante Brown and 0.54 for Ciudad de Bolívar. Over 1.5 goals lands 51.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 24.4% and over 3.5 goals 9.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.