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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Morón 100,000 times. Almirante Brown won 39,123 of them (39.1%), the draw came up 34.6% of the time and Deportivo Morón won 26.3%. No single score is common: 0-0 is the likeliest at 16.8%, while the likeliest Almirante Brown win is 1-0 (14.5%). Both teams score in 38.1% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Almirante Brown winning 39.1% and gave this exact score 14.5%.
| Almirante Brown win | 39.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 34.6% |
| Deportivo Morón win | 26.3% |
| Most likely score | 0-0 (16.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.07 – 0.83 |
| Both teams to score | 38.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 12.6% |
| Almirante Brown score first | 45.9% |
| Deportivo Morón score first | 37.5% |
| Almirante Brown clean sheet | 44% |
| Deportivo Morón clean sheet | 34.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503085 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Almirante Brown are favourites. They win 39.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 34.6% for the draw and 26.3% for Deportivo Morón. Including the draw, Almirante Brown avoid defeat 73.7% of the time.
0-0, which came up in 16.8% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (14.6%) and 1-0 (14.5%). The likeliest Almirante Brown win is 1-0 (14.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 38.1% of simulations. Almirante Brown keep a clean sheet 44% of the time and Deportivo Morón 34.7%.
The simulations average 1.89 goals: 1.07 for Almirante Brown and 0.83 for Deportivo Morón. Over 1.5 goals lands 57.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 29.5% and over 3.5 goals 12.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.