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  1. Simulations
  2. Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR
Torneo Federal A · 100,000 simulations

Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR prediction

We simulated Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR 100,000 times. Alvarado won 65,404 of them (65.4%), the draw came up 23.4% of the time and Defensores Belgrano VR won 11.2%. The most likely score is 1-0 (17.4%), and both teams score in 34.8% of simulations.

Alvarado badge
Alvarado Estadio José María Minella
2–0 Full time
Defensores Belgrano VR badge
Defensores Belgrano VR Away
65.4% 65,404 wins
23.4% Draw
11.2% 11,187 wins
Expected goals
1.72 – 0.55
Likeliest score
1-0 17.4%
Both score
34.8%
Over 2.5
39.6%

Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Alvarado winning 65.4% and gave this exact score 15.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Fernando Marcos Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata
Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR live score, stats & lineups

Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR in numbers 100,000 simulations · Torneo Federal A · Sunday 4 October, 19:30

Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR simulation probabilities
Alvarado win65.4%
Draw23.4%
Defensores Belgrano VR win11.2%
Most likely score1-0 (17.4%)
Expected goals1.72 – 0.55
Both teams to score34.8%
Over 1.5 goals66.3%
Over 2.5 goals39.6%
Over 3.5 goals19.7%
Alvarado score first67.8%
Defensores Belgrano VR score first21.3%
Alvarado clean sheet57.8%
Defensores Belgrano VR clean sheet18.3%
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR prediction FAQs

Who will win Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR?

Alvarado are favourites. They win 65.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.4% for the draw and 11.2% for Defensores Belgrano VR. Including the draw, Alvarado avoid defeat 88.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR?

1-0, which came up in 17.4% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (15.1%) and 0-0 (10.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR?

Both teams score in 34.8% of simulations. Alvarado keep a clean sheet 57.8% of the time and Defensores Belgrano VR 18.3%.

How many goals will there be in Alvarado vs Defensores Belgrano VR?

The simulations average 2.27 goals: 1.72 for Alvarado and 0.55 for Defensores Belgrano VR. Over 1.5 goals lands 66.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.6% and over 3.5 goals 19.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.