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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Antwerp vs Lommel SK 100,000 times. Antwerp won 51,294 of them (51.3%), the draw came up 24.2% of the time and Lommel SK won 24.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.6%, while the likeliest Antwerp win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 65% of simulations.
| Antwerp win | 51.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.2% |
| Lommel SK win | 24.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.02 – 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | 65% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.5% |
| Antwerp score first | 58.8% |
| Lommel SK score first | 36.2% |
| Antwerp clean sheet | 26.2% |
| Lommel SK clean sheet | 13.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420611248 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Antwerp are favourites. They win 51.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.2% for the draw and 24.5% for Lommel SK. Including the draw, Antwerp avoid defeat 75.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Antwerp win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65% of simulations. Antwerp keep a clean sheet 26.2% of the time and Lommel SK 13.8%.
The simulations average 3.37 goals: 2.02 for Antwerp and 1.36 for Lommel SK. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.1% and over 3.5 goals 43.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.