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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Arda vs Septemvri Sofia 100,000 times. Arda won 60,371 of them (60.4%), the draw came up 22.9% of the time and Septemvri Sofia won 16.7%. The most likely score is 1-0 (14.7%), and both teams score in 43.1% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Arda winning 60.4% and gave this exact score 9.2%.
| Arda win | 60.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.9% |
| Septemvri Sofia win | 16.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (14.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.72 – 0.76 |
| Both teams to score | 43.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.9% |
| Arda score first | 63.9% |
| Septemvri Sofia score first | 27.9% |
| Arda clean sheet | 46.9% |
| Septemvri Sofia clean sheet | 18.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420579845 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Arda are favourites. They win 60.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.9% for the draw and 16.7% for Septemvri Sofia. Including the draw, Arda avoid defeat 83.3% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 14.7% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (12.3%) and 1-1 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 43.1% of simulations. Arda keep a clean sheet 46.9% of the time and Septemvri Sofia 18.3%.
The simulations average 2.48 goals: 1.72 for Arda and 0.76 for Septemvri Sofia. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45% and over 3.5 goals 23.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.