New Predictions Show Episode Live!
30 Oct 2026
Another cracking weekend ahead and founder Joe has it covered. Arsenal away at Liverpool with the hosts an incredible price for the victory…
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
Push Notifications Now Live for Pro Users!
30 Oct 2026
Ahead of the weekend, I am delighted to announce that Pro users can now enable native push notifications using the OddAlerts app. What's mo…
Enhanced Guides Now Live!
29 Oct 2026
I have continued to improve the general usability of the site this week, further improving the core navigation to show the guides button ac…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Arenteiro vs Céltiga 100,000 times. Arenteiro won 40,959 of them (41%), the draw came up 29.6% of the time and Céltiga won 29.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.9%, while the likeliest Arenteiro win is 1-0 (10.8%). Both teams score in 49.3% of simulations.
| Arenteiro win | 41% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.6% |
| Céltiga win | 29.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.33 – 1.09 |
| Both teams to score | 49.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.5% |
| Arenteiro score first | 49.2% |
| Céltiga score first | 40.3% |
| Arenteiro clean sheet | 34.1% |
| Céltiga clean sheet | 26.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420701377 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Arenteiro are favourites. They win 41% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.6% for the draw and 29.4% for Céltiga. Including the draw, Arenteiro avoid defeat 70.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.8%) and 0-0 (10.4%). The likeliest Arenteiro win is 1-0 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.3% of simulations. Arenteiro keep a clean sheet 34.1% of the time and Céltiga 26.9%.
The simulations average 2.41 goals: 1.33 for Arenteiro and 1.09 for Céltiga. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.2% and over 3.5 goals 22.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.