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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Argentina vs Burkina Faso 100,000 times. Argentina won 95,433 of them (95.4%), the draw came up 3.7% of the time and Burkina Faso won 0.9%. The most likely score is 3-0 (14.8%), and both teams score in 23.5% of simulations.
Full time 7-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Argentina winning 95.4% and gave this exact score 4.5%.
| Argentina win | 95.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 3.7% |
| Burkina Faso win | 0.9% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (14.8%) |
| Expected goals | 3.95 – 0.28 |
| Both teams to score | 23.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 60.3% |
| Argentina score first | 93.7% |
| Burkina Faso score first | 4.7% |
| Argentina clean sheet | 75.9% |
| Burkina Faso clean sheet | 2.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420720211 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Argentina are favourites. They win 95.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 3.7% for the draw and 0.9% for Burkina Faso. Including the draw, Argentina avoid defeat 99.1% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 14.8% of simulations. Next are 4-0 (14.4%) and 2-0 (11.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 23.5% of simulations. Argentina keep a clean sheet 75.9% of the time and Burkina Faso 2.2%.
The simulations average 4.23 goals: 3.95 for Argentina and 0.28 for Burkina Faso. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 78.5% and over 3.5 goals 60.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.