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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Arka Pawłów vs Wierna Małogoszcz 100,000 times. Arka Pawłów won 68,166 of them (68.2%), the draw came up 16.4% of the time and Wierna Małogoszcz won 15.4%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.1%), and both teams score in 60.5% of simulations.
Full time 4-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Arka Pawłów winning 68.2% and gave this exact score 4.5%.
| Arka Pawłów win | 68.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.4% |
| Wierna Małogoszcz win | 15.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.52 – 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | 60.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.8% |
| Arka Pawłów score first | 67% |
| Wierna Małogoszcz score first | 30.6% |
| Arka Pawłów clean sheet | 33.5% |
| Wierna Małogoszcz clean sheet | 8.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420625511 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Arka Pawłów are favourites. They win 68.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.4% for the draw and 15.4% for Wierna Małogoszcz. Including the draw, Arka Pawłów avoid defeat 84.6% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.5% of simulations. Arka Pawłów keep a clean sheet 33.5% of the time and Wierna Małogoszcz 8.5%.
The simulations average 3.63 goals: 2.52 for Arka Pawłów and 1.10 for Wierna Małogoszcz. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.7% and over 3.5 goals 48.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.