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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Arlanda vs Järfälla 100,000 times. Arlanda won 70,035 of them (70%), the draw came up 16.1% of the time and Järfälla won 13.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.3%), and both teams score in 57.5% of simulations.
Full time 1-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Järfälla winning 13.9%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Arlanda win | 70% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.1% |
| Järfälla win | 13.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.51 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 57.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.6% |
| Arlanda score first | 73.1% |
| Järfälla score first | 24.4% |
| Arlanda clean sheet | 36.7% |
| Järfälla clean sheet | 8.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420542315 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Arlanda are favourites. They win 70% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.1% for the draw and 13.9% for Järfälla. Including the draw, Arlanda avoid defeat 86.1% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (7.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.5% of simulations. Arlanda keep a clean sheet 36.7% of the time and Järfälla 8.5%.
The simulations average 3.52 goals: 2.51 for Arlanda and 1.01 for Järfälla. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67.9% and over 3.5 goals 46.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.