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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Arnett Gardens vs Waterhouse 100,000 times. Waterhouse won 53,776 of them (53.8%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and Arnett Gardens won 22.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest Waterhouse win is 0-1 (10%). Both teams score in 54.7% of simulations.
| Arnett Gardens win | 22.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.5% |
| Waterhouse win | 53.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.08 – 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | 54.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.7% |
| Arnett Gardens score first | 36.8% |
| Waterhouse score first | 57% |
| Arnett Gardens clean sheet | 17% |
| Waterhouse clean sheet | 34.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420718558 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Waterhouse are favourites. They win 53.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 22.8% for Arnett Gardens. Including the draw, Waterhouse avoid defeat 77.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest Waterhouse win is 0-1 (10%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.7% of simulations. Arnett Gardens keep a clean sheet 17% of the time and Waterhouse 34.2%.
The simulations average 2.88 goals: 1.08 for Arnett Gardens and 1.80 for Waterhouse. Over 1.5 goals lands 78% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.7% and over 3.5 goals 32.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.