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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Arsenal de Sarandí vs Liniers 100,000 times. Arsenal de Sarandí won 63,741 of them (63.7%), the draw came up 23.2% of the time and Liniers won 13%. The most likely score is 1-0 (15.9%), and both teams score in 38.8% of simulations.
Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Arsenal de Sarandí winning 63.7% and gave this exact score 13.9%.
| Arsenal de Sarandí win | 63.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.2% |
| Liniers win | 13% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (15.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.75 – 0.64 |
| Both teams to score | 38.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.9% |
| Arsenal de Sarandí score first | 65.7% |
| Liniers score first | 24.5% |
| Arsenal de Sarandí clean sheet | 53.1% |
| Liniers clean sheet | 17.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503715 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Arsenal de Sarandí are favourites. They win 63.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.2% for the draw and 13% for Liniers. Including the draw, Arsenal de Sarandí avoid defeat 87% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 15.9% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (13.9%) and 1-1 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 38.8% of simulations. Arsenal de Sarandí keep a clean sheet 53.1% of the time and Liniers 17.8%.
The simulations average 2.38 goals: 1.75 for Arsenal de Sarandí and 0.64 for Liniers. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 42.5% and over 3.5 goals 21.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.