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Liga TDP · 100,000 simulations

Artesanos Metepec II vs Ajolotes Lerma FC prediction

We simulated Artesanos Metepec II vs Ajolotes Lerma FC 100,000 times. Artesanos Metepec II won 58,225 of them (58.2%), the draw came up 21.9% of the time and Ajolotes Lerma FC won 19.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.9%, while the likeliest Artesanos Metepec II win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 61.2% of simulations.

Artesanos Metepec II badge
Artesanos Metepec II Home
3–1 Full time
Ajolotes Lerma FC badge
Ajolotes Lerma FC Away
58.2% 58,225 wins
21.9% Draw
19.9% 19,854 wins
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.18
Likeliest score
1-1 9.9% Top AMI win: 2-1 9.6%
Both score
61.2%
Over 2.5
63.9%

Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Artesanos Metepec II winning 58.2% and gave this exact score 6.8%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated
Artesanos Metepec II vs Ajolotes Lerma FC live score, stats & lineups

Artesanos Metepec II vs Ajolotes Lerma FC in numbers 100,000 simulations · Liga TDP · Friday 18 September, 23:00

Artesanos Metepec II vs Ajolotes Lerma FC simulation probabilities
Artesanos Metepec II win58.2%
Draw21.9%
Ajolotes Lerma FC win19.9%
Most likely score1-1 (9.9%)
Expected goals2.13 – 1.18
Both teams to score61.2%
Over 1.5 goals84.6%
Over 2.5 goals63.9%
Over 3.5 goals42.1%
Artesanos Metepec II score first64.8%
Ajolotes Lerma FC score first30.9%
Artesanos Metepec II clean sheet31.1%
Ajolotes Lerma FC clean sheet12.3%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420687630
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Artesanos Metepec II vs Ajolotes Lerma FC prediction FAQs

Who will win Artesanos Metepec II vs Ajolotes Lerma FC?

Artesanos Metepec II are favourites. They win 58.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.9% for the draw and 19.9% for Ajolotes Lerma FC. Including the draw, Artesanos Metepec II avoid defeat 80.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Artesanos Metepec II vs Ajolotes Lerma FC?

1-1, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Artesanos Metepec II win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Artesanos Metepec II vs Ajolotes Lerma FC?

Both teams score in 61.2% of simulations. Artesanos Metepec II keep a clean sheet 31.1% of the time and Ajolotes Lerma FC 12.3%.

How many goals will there be in Artesanos Metepec II vs Ajolotes Lerma FC?

The simulations average 3.31 goals: 2.13 for Artesanos Metepec II and 1.18 for Ajolotes Lerma FC. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.9% and over 3.5 goals 42.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.