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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Ascoli vs Palermo 100,000 times. Palermo won 36,553 of them (36.6%), the draw came up 27.6% of the time and Ascoli won 35.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest Palermo win is 1-2 (8.3%). Both teams score in 61.9% of simulations.
| Ascoli win | 35.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.6% |
| Palermo win | 36.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 1.52 |
| Both teams to score | 61.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.9% |
| Ascoli score first | 44.5% |
| Palermo score first | 48.7% |
| Ascoli clean sheet | 22.3% |
| Palermo clean sheet | 22.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420664302 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Palermo are favourites. They win 36.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.6% for the draw and 35.9% for Ascoli. Including the draw, Palermo avoid defeat 64.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest Palermo win is 1-2 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.9% of simulations. Ascoli keep a clean sheet 22.3% of the time and Palermo 22.6%.
The simulations average 3.03 goals: 1.51 for Ascoli and 1.52 for Palermo. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58% and over 3.5 goals 35.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.