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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC 100,000 times. ATK Mohun Bagan won 71,627 of them (71.6%), the draw came up 17.4% of the time and Odisha FC won 11%. The most likely score is 2-0 (13%), and both teams score in 44.9% of simulations.
| ATK Mohun Bagan win | 71.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.4% |
| Odisha FC win | 11% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 2.22 – 0.71 |
| Both teams to score | 44.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.8% |
| ATK Mohun Bagan score first | 68.9% |
| Odisha FC score first | 25.9% |
| ATK Mohun Bagan clean sheet | 49.1% |
| Odisha FC clean sheet | 11.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420730972 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
ATK Mohun Bagan are favourites. They win 71.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.4% for the draw and 11% for Odisha FC. Including the draw, ATK Mohun Bagan avoid defeat 89% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.1%) and 3-0 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.9% of simulations. ATK Mohun Bagan keep a clean sheet 49.1% of the time and Odisha FC 11.3%.
The simulations average 2.93 goals: 2.22 for ATK Mohun Bagan and 0.71 for Odisha FC. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.9% and over 3.5 goals 33.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.