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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Atlante vs Santos Laguna 100,000 times. Atlante won 44,487 of them (44.5%), the draw came up 25.6% of the time and Santos Laguna won 29.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.8%, while the likeliest Atlante win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 60.5% of simulations.
This match has kicked off. These are the numbers from the last simulation before kick-off.
| Atlante win | 44.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.6% |
| Santos Laguna win | 29.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.68 – 1.34 |
| Both teams to score | 60.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.8% |
| Atlante score first | 53.5% |
| Santos Laguna score first | 40.8% |
| Atlante clean sheet | 26.5% |
| Santos Laguna clean sheet | 19% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420578823 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atlante are favourites. They win 44.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.6% for the draw and 29.9% for Santos Laguna. Including the draw, Atlante avoid defeat 70.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Atlante win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.5% of simulations. Atlante keep a clean sheet 26.5% of the time and Santos Laguna 19%.
The simulations average 3.02 goals: 1.68 for Atlante and 1.34 for Santos Laguna. Over 1.5 goals lands 81% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.9% and over 3.5 goals 35.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.