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Liga MX U21 · 100,000 simulations

Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara U21 prediction

We simulated Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara U21 100,000 times. Atlas U21 won 36,064 of them (36.1%), the draw came up 28.7% of the time and Guadalajara U21 won 35.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Atlas U21 win is 1-0 (9.3%). Both teams score in 51.8% of simulations.

Atlas U21 badge
Atlas U21 Home
0–2 Full time
Guadalajara U21 badge
Guadalajara U21 Away
36.1% 36,064 wins
28.7% Draw
35.3% 35,251 wins
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.25
Likeliest score
1-1 13.5% Top Atlas U21 win: 1-0 9.3%
Both score
51.8%
Over 2.5
46.1%

Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Guadalajara U21 winning 35.3% and gave this exact score 6.3%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated
Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara U21 live score, stats & lineups

Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara U21 in numbers 100,000 simulations · Liga MX U21 · Saturday 10 October, 16:00

Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara U21 simulation probabilities
Atlas U21 win36.1%
Draw28.7%
Guadalajara U21 win35.3%
Most likely score1-1 (13.5%)
Expected goals1.27 – 1.25
Both teams to score51.8%
Over 1.5 goals72.4%
Over 2.5 goals46.1%
Over 3.5 goals24.8%
Atlas U21 score first46%
Guadalajara U21 score first44.9%
Atlas U21 clean sheet28.9%
Guadalajara U21 clean sheet28.4%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420578679
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara U21 prediction FAQs

Who will win Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara U21?

Atlas U21 are favourites. They win 36.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.7% for the draw and 35.3% for Guadalajara U21. Including the draw, Atlas U21 avoid defeat 64.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara U21?

1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.3%) and 0-0 (9.2%). The likeliest Atlas U21 win is 1-0 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara U21?

Both teams score in 51.8% of simulations. Atlas U21 keep a clean sheet 28.9% of the time and Guadalajara U21 28.4%.

How many goals will there be in Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara U21?

The simulations average 2.52 goals: 1.27 for Atlas U21 and 1.25 for Guadalajara U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.1% and over 3.5 goals 24.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.