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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Atlas W vs Tigres UANL W 100,000 times. Tigres UANL W won 76,588 of them (76.6%), the draw came up 14.1% of the time and Atlas W won 9.3%. The most likely score is 0-2 (9.3%), and both teams score in 56.4% of simulations.
Full time 0-7. Before kick-off the simulations had Tigres UANL W winning 76.6%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Atlas W win | 9.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14.1% |
| Tigres UANL W win | 76.6% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (9.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.92 – 2.86 |
| Both teams to score | 56.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 52% |
| Atlas W score first | 25.2% |
| Tigres UANL W score first | 72.2% |
| Atlas W clean sheet | 6.1% |
| Tigres UANL W clean sheet | 40.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420599479 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Tigres UANL W are favourites. They win 76.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14.1% for the draw and 9.3% for Atlas W. Including the draw, Tigres UANL W avoid defeat 90.7% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 9.3% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.4% of simulations. Atlas W keep a clean sheet 6.1% of the time and Tigres UANL W 40.2%.
The simulations average 3.78 goals: 0.92 for Atlas W and 2.86 for Tigres UANL W. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 72.3% and over 3.5 goals 52%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.