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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Atletico Balboa vs Alianza 100,000 times. Alianza won 40,603 of them (40.6%), the draw came up 28.7% of the time and Atletico Balboa won 30.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Alianza win is 0-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 52.7% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Atletico Balboa winning 30.7% and gave this exact score 7.9%.
| Atletico Balboa win | 30.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.7% |
| Alianza win | 40.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.18 – 1.39 |
| Both teams to score | 52.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.8% |
| Atletico Balboa score first | 39.8% |
| Alianza score first | 51.5% |
| Atletico Balboa clean sheet | 25.3% |
| Alianza clean sheet | 31.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420587449 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Alianza are favourites. They win 40.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.7% for the draw and 30.7% for Atletico Balboa. Including the draw, Alianza avoid defeat 69.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-0 (9.1%). The likeliest Alianza win is 0-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.7% of simulations. Atletico Balboa keep a clean sheet 25.3% of the time and Alianza 31.1%.
The simulations average 2.57 goals: 1.18 for Atletico Balboa and 1.39 for Alianza. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.2% and over 3.5 goals 25.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.