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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Nacional 100,000 times. Atlético Nacional won 39,466 of them (39.5%), the draw came up 28.9% of the time and Atlético Bucaramanga won 31.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.7%, while the likeliest Atlético Nacional win is 0-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 53.7% of simulations.
| Atlético Bucaramanga win | 31.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.9% |
| Atlético Nacional win | 39.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.22 – 1.39 |
| Both teams to score | 53.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.7% |
| Atlético Bucaramanga score first | 47.7% |
| Atlético Nacional score first | 43.3% |
| Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet | 25.3% |
| Atlético Nacional clean sheet | 29.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420567237 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atlético Nacional are favourites. They win 39.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.9% for the draw and 31.6% for Atlético Bucaramanga. Including the draw, Atlético Nacional avoid defeat 68.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.7% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (9%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest Atlético Nacional win is 0-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.7% of simulations. Atlético Bucaramanga keep a clean sheet 25.3% of the time and Atlético Nacional 29.9%.
The simulations average 2.61 goals: 1.22 for Atlético Bucaramanga and 1.39 for Atlético Nacional. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.2% and over 3.5 goals 26.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.