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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Atlético Calatayud vs Osasuna 100,000 times. Osasuna won 95,080 of them (95.1%), the draw came up 3.5% of the time and Atlético Calatayud won 1.4%. The most likely score is 0-4 (11%), and both teams score in 40.3% of simulations.
Full time 0-6. Before kick-off the simulations had Osasuna winning 95.1% and gave this exact score 7.5%.
| Atlético Calatayud win | 1.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 3.5% |
| Osasuna win | 95.1% |
| Most likely score | 0-4 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 0.53 – 4.52 |
| Both teams to score | 40.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 87% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 73% |
| Atlético Calatayud score first | 10.7% |
| Osasuna score first | 88.7% |
| Atlético Calatayud clean sheet | 1.3% |
| Osasuna clean sheet | 59.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420731351 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Osasuna are favourites. They win 95.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 3.5% for the draw and 1.4% for Atlético Calatayud. Including the draw, Osasuna avoid defeat 98.6% of the time.
0-4, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (9.9%) and 0-5 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 40.3% of simulations. Atlético Calatayud keep a clean sheet 1.3% of the time and Osasuna 59.1%.
The simulations average 5.05 goals: 0.53 for Atlético Calatayud and 4.52 for Osasuna. Over 1.5 goals lands 95.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 87% and over 3.5 goals 73%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.