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We simulated Atlético Nayarit vs Halcones de Nayarit 100,000 times. Atlético Nayarit won 43,025 of them (43%), the draw came up 26.3% of the time and Halcones de Nayarit won 30.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.2%, while the likeliest Atlético Nayarit win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 60.2% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 26.3% and gave this exact score 12.2%.
| Atlético Nayarit win | 43% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.3% |
| Halcones de Nayarit win | 30.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.64 – 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | 60.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Atlético Nayarit score first | 51.3% |
| Halcones de Nayarit score first | 42.3% |
| Atlético Nayarit clean sheet | 26.3% |
| Halcones de Nayarit clean sheet | 19.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420709748 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atlético Nayarit are favourites. They win 43% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.3% for the draw and 30.6% for Halcones de Nayarit. Including the draw, Atlético Nayarit avoid defeat 69.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Atlético Nayarit win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.2% of simulations. Atlético Nayarit keep a clean sheet 26.3% of the time and Halcones de Nayarit 19.9%.
The simulations average 2.99 goals: 1.64 for Atlético Nayarit and 1.35 for Halcones de Nayarit. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.1% and over 3.5 goals 35%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.