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Primera B Nacional · 100,000 simulations

Atlético Rafaela vs San Martín de Tucumán prediction

We simulated Atlético Rafaela vs San Martín de Tucumán 100,000 times. Atlético Rafaela won 40,036 of them (40%), the draw came up 33.7% of the time and San Martín de Tucumán won 26.2%. No single score is common: 0-0 is the likeliest at 16.2%, while the likeliest Atlético Rafaela win is 1-0 (14.9%). Both teams score in 38.1% of simulations.

Atlético Rafaela badge
Atlético Rafaela Estadio Nuevo Monumental
4–2 Full time
San Martín de Tucumán badge
San Martín de Tucumán Away
40% 40,036 wins
33.7% Draw
26.2% 26,235 wins
Expected goals
1.09 – 0.82
Likeliest score
0-0 16.2% Top Atlético win: 1-0 14.9%
Both score
38.1%
Over 2.5
29.9%

Full time 4-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Atlético Rafaela winning 40%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Daniel Alberto Zamora Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela
Atlético Rafaela vs San Martín de Tucumán live score, stats & lineups

Atlético Rafaela vs San Martín de Tucumán in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera B Nacional · Saturday 19 September, 20:00

Atlético Rafaela vs San Martín de Tucumán simulation probabilities
Atlético Rafaela win40%
Draw33.7%
San Martín de Tucumán win26.2%
Most likely score0-0 (16.2%)
Expected goals1.09 – 0.82
Both teams to score38.1%
Over 1.5 goals57.9%
Over 2.5 goals29.9%
Over 3.5 goals12.8%
Atlético Rafaela score first46.8%
San Martín de Tucumán score first37.1%
Atlético Rafaela clean sheet44.1%
San Martín de Tucumán clean sheet34.1%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420503005
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Atlético Rafaela vs San Martín de Tucumán prediction FAQs

Who will win Atlético Rafaela vs San Martín de Tucumán?

Atlético Rafaela are favourites. They win 40% of our 100,000 simulations, against 33.7% for the draw and 26.2% for San Martín de Tucumán. Including the draw, Atlético Rafaela avoid defeat 73.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Atlético Rafaela vs San Martín de Tucumán?

0-0, which came up in 16.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (14.9%) and 1-1 (14.3%). The likeliest Atlético Rafaela win is 1-0 (14.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Atlético Rafaela vs San Martín de Tucumán?

Both teams score in 38.1% of simulations. Atlético Rafaela keep a clean sheet 44.1% of the time and San Martín de Tucumán 34.1%.

How many goals will there be in Atlético Rafaela vs San Martín de Tucumán?

The simulations average 1.91 goals: 1.09 for Atlético Rafaela and 0.82 for San Martín de Tucumán. Over 1.5 goals lands 57.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 29.9% and over 3.5 goals 12.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.