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Primera B · 100,000 simulations

Atlético vs Bogotá prediction

We simulated Atlético vs Bogotá 100,000 times. Bogotá won 37,175 of them (37.2%), the draw came up 29.5% of the time and Atlético won 33.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.6%, while the likeliest Bogotá win is 0-1 (11.7%). Both teams score in 46.1% of simulations.

Atlético badge
Atlético Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero
2–1 Full time
Bogotá badge
Bogotá Away
33.4% 33,368 wins
29.5% Draw
37.2% 37,175 wins
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.17
Likeliest score
1-1 13.6% Top Bogotá win: 0-1 11.7%
Both score
46.1%
Over 2.5
39.5%

Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Atlético winning 33.4% and gave this exact score 7.2%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali
Atlético vs Bogotá live score, stats & lineups

Atlético vs Bogotá in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera B · Saturday 29 August, 21:30

Atlético vs Bogotá simulation probabilities
Atlético win33.4%
Draw29.5%
Bogotá win37.2%
Most likely score1-1 (13.6%)
Expected goals1.10 – 1.17
Both teams to score46.1%
Over 1.5 goals66.4%
Over 2.5 goals39.5%
Over 3.5 goals19.6%
Atlético score first46.5%
Bogotá score first42.1%
Atlético clean sheet31.3%
Bogotá clean sheet33.7%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420567029
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Atlético vs Bogotá prediction FAQs

Who will win Atlético vs Bogotá?

Bogotá are favourites. They win 37.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.5% for the draw and 33.4% for Atlético. Including the draw, Bogotá avoid defeat 66.6% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Atlético vs Bogotá?

1-1, which came up in 13.6% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.7%) and 0-0 (11%). The likeliest Bogotá win is 0-1 (11.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Atlético vs Bogotá?

Both teams score in 46.1% of simulations. Atlético keep a clean sheet 31.3% of the time and Bogotá 33.7%.

How many goals will there be in Atlético vs Bogotá?

The simulations average 2.27 goals: 1.10 for Atlético and 1.17 for Bogotá. Over 1.5 goals lands 66.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.5% and over 3.5 goals 19.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.