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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Atyrau vs Irtysh 100,000 times. Atyrau won 39,503 of them (39.5%), the draw came up 26.8% of the time and Irtysh won 33.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.6%, while the likeliest Atyrau win is 1-0 (10.3%). Both teams score in 51.6% of simulations.
Full time 2-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Irtysh winning 33.7% and gave this exact score 2.1%.
| Atyrau win | 39.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.8% |
| Irtysh win | 33.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.34 – 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | 51.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.5% |
| Atyrau score first | 44.5% |
| Irtysh score first | 47.4% |
| Atyrau clean sheet | 30% |
| Irtysh clean sheet | 26.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420521132 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atyrau are favourites. They win 39.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.8% for the draw and 33.7% for Irtysh. Including the draw, Atyrau avoid defeat 66.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.3%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest Atyrau win is 1-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.6% of simulations. Atyrau keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Irtysh 26.5%.
The simulations average 2.55 goals: 1.34 for Atyrau and 1.21 for Irtysh. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.9% and over 3.5 goals 25.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.