Dropping Odds Page Enhanced
1 Nov 2026
We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
30 Oct 2026
The API add-on that launched recently allowing you to add the new simulations engine to your project had a small bug impacting the sign up …
New Predictions Show Episode Live!
30 Oct 2026
Another cracking weekend ahead and founder Joe has it covered. Arsenal away at Liverpool with the hosts an incredible price for the victory…
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix 100,000 times. Auckland won 42,567 of them (42.6%), the draw came up 25.9% of the time and Wellington Phoenix won 31.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.2%, while the likeliest Auckland win is 1-0 (9.1%). Both teams score in 55.7% of simulations.
| Auckland win | 42.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.9% |
| Wellington Phoenix win | 31.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | 55.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.2% |
| Auckland score first | 53.7% |
| Wellington Phoenix score first | 39.7% |
| Auckland clean sheet | 28.7% |
| Wellington Phoenix clean sheet | 22.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420731851 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Auckland are favourites. They win 42.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.9% for the draw and 31.5% for Wellington Phoenix. Including the draw, Auckland avoid defeat 68.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest Auckland win is 1-0 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.7% of simulations. Auckland keep a clean sheet 28.7% of the time and Wellington Phoenix 22.5%.
The simulations average 2.77 goals: 1.51 for Auckland and 1.26 for Wellington Phoenix. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.2% and over 3.5 goals 30.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.