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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Aurora vs Real Tomayapo 100,000 times. Aurora won 74,688 of them (74.7%), the draw came up 15.5% of the time and Real Tomayapo won 9.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12%), and both teams score in 48% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Aurora winning 74.7% and gave this exact score 10.2%.
| Aurora win | 74.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15.5% |
| Real Tomayapo win | 9.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 2.47 – 0.76 |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.2% |
| Aurora score first | 73.4% |
| Real Tomayapo score first | 22.7% |
| Aurora clean sheet | 47.1% |
| Real Tomayapo clean sheet | 8.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420733137 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Aurora are favourites. They win 74.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.5% for the draw and 9.9% for Real Tomayapo. Including the draw, Aurora avoid defeat 90.1% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.2%) and 3-0 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48% of simulations. Aurora keep a clean sheet 47.1% of the time and Real Tomayapo 8.9%.
The simulations average 3.22 goals: 2.47 for Aurora and 0.76 for Real Tomayapo. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.1% and over 3.5 goals 40.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.