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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Aurora vs San Pedro 100,000 times. Aurora won 53,005 of them (53%), the draw came up 30.6% of the time and San Pedro won 16.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.3%, while the likeliest Aurora win is 2-0 (11.2%). Both teams score in 47.9% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Aurora winning 53% and gave this exact score 5%.
| Aurora win | 53% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.6% |
| San Pedro win | 16.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.62 – 0.83 |
| Both teams to score | 47.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.5% |
| Aurora score first | 55% |
| San Pedro score first | 33.5% |
| Aurora clean sheet | 43.7% |
| San Pedro clean sheet | 20.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420586931 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Aurora are favourites. They win 53% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.6% for the draw and 16.4% for San Pedro. Including the draw, Aurora avoid defeat 83.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.3% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (11.7%) and 2-0 (11.2%). The likeliest Aurora win is 2-0 (11.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.9% of simulations. Aurora keep a clean sheet 43.7% of the time and San Pedro 20.1%.
The simulations average 2.46 goals: 1.62 for Aurora and 0.83 for San Pedro. Over 1.5 goals lands 73% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.5% and over 3.5 goals 23.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.