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  1. Simulations
  2. MLS
  3. Austin vs San Diego
MLS · 100,000 simulations

Austin vs San Diego prediction

We simulated Austin vs San Diego 100,000 times. Austin won 39,141 of them (39.1%), the draw came up 25.8% of the time and San Diego won 35.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Austin win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 59.5% of simulations.

Austin badge
Austin Q2 Stadium
3–3 Full time
San Diego badge
San Diego Away
39.1% 39,141 wins
25.8% Draw
35.1% 35,101 wins
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.43
Likeliest score
1-1 11.9% Top Austin win: 2-1 8.5%
Both score
59.5%
Over 2.5
56.3%

Full time 3-3. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 25.8%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Jon Freemon Q2 Stadium
Austin vs San Diego live score, stats & lineups

Austin vs San Diego in numbers 100,000 simulations · MLS · Sunday 27 September, 01:30

Austin vs San Diego simulation probabilities
Austin win39.1%
Draw25.8%
San Diego win35.1%
Most likely score1-1 (11.9%)
Expected goals1.52 – 1.43
Both teams to score59.5%
Over 1.5 goals79.7%
Over 2.5 goals56.3%
Over 3.5 goals34.1%
Austin score first51.4%
San Diego score first42.6%
Austin clean sheet24.3%
San Diego clean sheet22.2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510039
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Austin vs San Diego prediction FAQs

Who will win Austin vs San Diego?

Austin are favourites. They win 39.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.8% for the draw and 35.1% for San Diego. Including the draw, Austin avoid defeat 64.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Austin vs San Diego?

1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest Austin win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Austin vs San Diego?

Both teams score in 59.5% of simulations. Austin keep a clean sheet 24.3% of the time and San Diego 22.2%.

How many goals will there be in Austin vs San Diego?

The simulations average 2.95 goals: 1.52 for Austin and 1.43 for San Diego. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.3% and over 3.5 goals 34.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.