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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Australia vs Brazil 100,000 times. Brazil won 69,239 of them (69.2%), the draw came up 18.4% of the time and Australia won 12.4%. The most likely score is 0-2 (12.3%), and both teams score in 47.2% of simulations.
Full time 2-4. Before kick-off the simulations had Brazil winning 69.2%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Australia win | 12.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.4% |
| Brazil win | 69.2% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.77 – 2.17 |
| Both teams to score | 47.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.1% |
| Australia score first | 24.6% |
| Brazil score first | 70.1% |
| Australia clean sheet | 11.8% |
| Brazil clean sheet | 46.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420571974 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Brazil are favourites. They win 69.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.4% for the draw and 12.4% for Australia. Including the draw, Brazil avoid defeat 87.6% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.6%) and 1-2 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.2% of simulations. Australia keep a clean sheet 11.8% of the time and Brazil 46.3%.
The simulations average 2.95 goals: 0.77 for Australia and 2.17 for Brazil. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.2% and over 3.5 goals 34.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.