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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Bærum vs Lillestrøm 100,000 times. Lillestrøm won 88,432 of them (88.4%), the draw came up 7.9% of the time and Bærum won 3.7%. The most likely score is 0-3 (8.7%), and both teams score in 54.9% of simulations.
Full time 1-5. Before kick-off the simulations had Lillestrøm winning 88.4% and gave this exact score 5.3%.
| Bærum win | 3.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 7.9% |
| Lillestrøm win | 88.4% |
| Most likely score | 0-3 (8.7%) |
| Expected goals | 0.82 – 3.90 |
| Both teams to score | 54.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 84.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 68.7% |
| Bærum score first | 17.3% |
| Lillestrøm score first | 81.5% |
| Bærum clean sheet | 2.3% |
| Lillestrøm clean sheet | 44.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420689003 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lillestrøm are favourites. They win 88.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 7.9% for the draw and 3.7% for Bærum. Including the draw, Lillestrøm avoid defeat 96.3% of the time.
0-3, which came up in 8.7% of simulations. Next are 0-4 (8.4%) and 1-3 (7.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.9% of simulations. Bærum keep a clean sheet 2.3% of the time and Lillestrøm 44.1%.
The simulations average 4.73 goals: 0.82 for Bærum and 3.90 for Lillestrøm. Over 1.5 goals lands 94.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 84.3% and over 3.5 goals 68.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.